Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.065206 0.076945 0.090081 0.105855 0.124268 0.145069 0.170337
2025-06-01 0.046654 0.061667 0.080342 0.105215 0.137408 0.177604 0.231535
2025-06-08 0.035586 0.051410 0.072785 0.103632 0.146858 0.205112 0.289389
2025-06-15 0.029539 0.045929 0.069623 0.106140 0.160730 0.238988 0.359297
2025-06-22 0.024252 0.040232 0.064752 0.104779 0.168081 0.263815 0.418904
2025-06-29 0.020000 0.035184 0.059775 0.102051 0.172368 0.283915 0.473241
2025-07-06 0.016606 0.030844 0.055079 0.098772 0.174881 0.300989 0.524289
2025-07-13 0.014788 0.028858 0.053906 0.101051 0.186655 0.334141 0.605370
2025-07-20 0.013061 0.026710 0.052066 0.101764 0.195598 0.363287 0.682779
2025-07-27 0.011635 0.024871 0.050473 0.102607 0.204720 0.393567 0.765468
2025-08-03 0.010493 0.023396 0.049323 0.104061 0.215046 0.427019 0.857607
2025-08-10 0.009691 0.022484 0.049132 0.107336 0.229231 0.469152 0.970812
2025-08-17 0.008334 0.020173 0.045792 0.103798 0.229511 0.484921 1.035457
2025-08-24 0.007436 0.018742 0.044116 0.103563 0.236648 0.515263 1.133293
2025-08-31 0.006570 0.017230 0.042023 0.102085 0.240870 0.540016 1.222333
2025-09-07 0.006080 0.016545 0.041705 0.104574 0.254154 0.585350 1.360381
2025-09-14 0.005416 0.015302 0.039878 0.103236 0.258484 0.611633 1.459535
2025-09-21 0.004765 0.013973 0.037634 0.100547 0.259241 0.629939 1.542702
2025-09-28 0.004172 0.012692 0.035313 0.097315 0.258221 0.643976 1.617493
2025-10-05 0.003898 0.012261 0.035132 0.099562 0.271119 0.692139 1.778439
2025-10-12 0.003586 0.011661 0.034407 0.100265 0.280154 0.731979 1.923612
2025-10-19 0.003310 0.011120 0.033764 0.101096 0.289628 0.773934 2.078645
2025-10-26 0.003082 0.010686 0.033357 0.102530 0.300906 0.821669 2.253546